Challenges and Opportunities: From Now to 2001

action activities aggression American assessment become civilian-based communication conflict resolution cooperation create crises crisis management decision makers defense destroy deterrence developing countries disaster economic effective emergency management environmental example executives Federal feedback fluctuation theory forces future orientation global groups growth scenario human human extinction Ilya Prigogine important increased individual industry institutions involved issues Jan Tinbergen learning Mahdi Elmandjra ment military million missiles models networks no-first-use non-provocative nuclear attack nuclear war nuclear weapons nuclear winter opponent organization overcapacity peace peace games percent planning political possible potential present problems production projections recent regional response result retaliation risk role side simulations social society Soviet Union story strategic thinking strategy structure Takeshi Utsumi territorial solution terrorism terrorist threat threaten tion trade United Nations values warheads World Growth York